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According to a report by SBI Research, India is on track to become an upper-middle-income country by 2030. This would place India alongside nations such as China and Indonesia. The projection is based on steady growth in per capita income and overall economic expansion. Experts see this as a structural shift in India’s income profile.
The World Bank classifies countries into four income groups. These are low income, lower-middle income, upper-middle income, and high income. Classification depends on per capita Gross National Income. Entry into the upper-middle group reflects stronger purchasing power. It also signals improved living standards.
The SBI report states that India’s per capita income is expected to reach around four thousand dollars by 2030. In 1962, this figure was just ninety dollars. It crossed one thousand dollars in 2009. By 2019, it reached two thousand dollars. The steady rise highlights long-term economic transformation.
India is projected to become the world’s third-largest economy by 2028. It is expected to overtake Germany in total economic size. Currently, the United States and China hold the top two positions. This shift reflects India’s expanding GDP base. It also shows growing global economic influence.
SBI Research estimates India could become a five trillion dollar economy by 2028. By 2035, it may reach ten trillion dollars. These projections are based on strong domestic demand. Policy reforms and investment growth also play a role. The outlook places India among leading global economies.
To achieve high-income status by 2047, India must sustain strong growth. Per capita GNI needs to grow at about seven and a half percent annually. If the income threshold rises, growth requirements may increase further. Past trends suggest such rates are achievable. Continued reforms will be crucial.
SBI Research emphasizes the importance of ongoing reforms. Productivity improvement remains essential. Infrastructure expansion must continue. Investment in skills and innovation is necessary. Stable policies can accelerate growth. These steps will help India move from upper-middle to high-income status.