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New Delhi: Iran's Islamic leadership has managed to maintain its grip on power after suppressing months of mass protests in Tehran with a harsh repression. However, its cost has been heavy. According to various international reports and assessments by human rights organizations, thousands of people have lost their lives in the crackdown by security forces and some reports put the death toll at more than 12,000.
Meanwhile, experts have warned that the Iranian regime, threatened by internal rebellion, may now adopt a more aggressive stance than before, posing a serious threat to regional peace.
Analysts say widespread discontent has shaken the regime from within. The protests may have been suppressed, but the fear has not ended. The leadership fears that the situation may flare up again.
Iran gave complete freedom to the security forces. Arrests and harsh punishments increased rapidly. The government called it a need to maintain order.
US President Donald Trump has given soft signals towards Tehran in recent days. He said the plan to hang the arrested protesters has been cancelled. Experts believe that this has given a sign of relief to Iran.
Analysts fear that Tehran may take risks as soon as pressure eases. A strategy can be adopted to suppress internal fear by showing external strength. This has been seen many times in history.
According to British media reports, Iran has accelerated its weapons program. Despite previous US attacks, nuclear material is said to be safe. The amount of modified uranium is raising concerns.
Reports claim that Iran could launch an attack with up to 2,000 missiles. It will be many times bigger than last year's 12-day conflict. Hundreds of missiles and drones were used during that time.
According to experts, Iran is taking the help of Chinese technology. Ballistic and hypersonic missiles are being upgraded. This may put Israel's air defense under challenge.
Despite the unrest within the country, production has not stopped. This shows that military priorities are on top. Preparations for a possible conflict continue.
Experts believe that the next conflict will not be limited. American bases and Gulf countries can also fall prey to this. Oil supply and the global market may be affected.
Iran has uranium enriched to 60 percent. If it is taken to weapon level then many bombs can be made. This fear remains the center of concern for the world.
Diplomatic routes are still open, but time is running out.If talks fail, the situation could deteriorate rapidly. Experts believe that the coming months will be very important.