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Patna: The first phase of Bihar Assembly elections is near and nominations are almost over. Though voting is still weeks away, both NDA and Grand Alliance are already under pressure. Union Home Minister Amit Shah has arrived in Patna to fix alliance issues. Opposition leader Tejashwi Yadav has sent his aide Sanjay Yadav to Delhi for talks with partners. BJP has released a list of 40 star campaigners. Meanwhile, election rallies are gaining speed with sharp attacks from both sides. The stage is set for a tough battle once again.
Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath campaigned in Danapur for BJP leader Ram Kripal Yadav. He accused the RJD and Congress of blocking election commission guidelines on voter identification. Yogi said opposition parties were creating a “development versus burqa” narrative to polarize voters. His speech drew a strong response from supporters. Analysts say such issues are being used to consolidate vote banks. As campaigning grows aggressive, parties are focusing on emotional subjects. The NDA hopes these attacks will help counter the Grand Alliance’s social arithmetic.
Beyond public rallies, the real tension lies in the data from 2020 elections. Several constituencies were decided by margins as small as 1000 to 1500 votes. Candidates from both alliances know these seats can easily flip. Any small shift in caste dynamics or local anger could change results. Leaders fear that the seats they won narrowly may now slip away. This has created nervousness among party workers. In such constituencies, every vote will matter. Campaigns are being designed carefully to protect these fragile seats.
In Hilsa, JDU’s Krishnamurari Sharan won by only 12 votes. At Barbigha, JDU won by just 113 votes. In Ramgarh, RJD’s Sudhakar Singh secured victory with only 189 votes. Other constituencies like Matihani, Bhoore, and Dehri also saw victories with less than 500 votes. CPI won Bakhri with a margin under 800 votes. In Kudhni, RJD held on with just over 700 votes. These results prove how unpredictable the last election was. For 2025, both alliances know such seats are high risk.
Apart from razor-thin margins, there are constituencies where the difference was between 1000 and 1500. Congress won Bhagalpur with 1113 votes and Kishanganj with 1381 votes. RJD won Kalyanpur by 1193 votes. BJP barely managed Parihar with 1569 votes. These small differences keep parties on edge. A minor swing in voter mood could decide victory or defeat. Local candidates are working day and night to secure their ground. They fear losing even one key group of voters could cost them their seat.
Both alliances are trying to build strong voter blocs. The NDA is highlighting development and central schemes. The Grand Alliance is focusing on unemployment, price rise, and local issues. Social engineering remains central to both sides. Leaders are using caste combinations and religious appeals to keep their supporters together. Meanwhile, star campaigners like Prime Minister Narendra Modi will soon address rallies. Opposition is relying on Tejashwi Yadav’s youth appeal and sharp speeches. The outcome on marginal seats will depend on how well these strategies work.
In 2020, NDA won 125 seats while the Grand Alliance secured 110. The difference was small, as 52 seats had margins below 5000 votes. This shows how competitive Bihar politics is. Neither alliance can afford mistakes on slim-margin constituencies. This time the nervousness is even greater, as voters appear divided on key issues. Both camps are preparing for an intense fight. Leaders admit these dozen seats could decide the final picture. For now, tension remains high and the heartbeat of candidates is fast.