Is Tejashwi's counter plan in Bihar, Chirag, BJP's strategy or Paswan's wish?

Chirag Paswan, currently serving as a Union Minister, has announced his intent to contest the upcoming Bihar Assembly polls  his first time entering the state arena. This decision marks a strategic and symbolic leap. Rather than staying stuck in the center stage or challenging from a reserved seat as most anticipated, Chirag will battle in a general seat, indicating a courageous bid to break out of familiar caste politics and establish himself as a leader of the whole of Bihar. 

Not just another Dalit leader 

At the opposite end of the spectrum is Tejashwi Yadav, scion of the political dynasty of Lalu Prasad Yadav, and the current most popular opposition leader face in Bihar. Supported by the INDIA bloc and boasting a major vote bank among Yadavs and Muslims  who form almost two-thirds of the electorate Tejashwi has succeeded in becoming the face of youth politics in Bihar. His mix of populism, powerful street connect, and pure ideological positioning has turned him into a strong candidate for the chief minister's chair.

Then comes Chirag, whose politics is characterized by a cutting, tech-aware appeal and aspirational tone that relates to young, semi-urban, and urban youth. Shifting attention away from national politics towards the state level is not merely a career shift it's a strategic bid to neutralize Tejashwi's increasing popularity. 

Tejashwi Yadav: The youth icon with a powerful legacy 

Experts view Chirag's entry as the BJP's quiet strategy. Even though the NDA is still projecting Nitish Kumar as its CM face, his sagging approval ratings have created a leadership vacuum. BJP is seemingly preparing Chirag as an alternative Plan B a young, charismatic leader acceptable to a broad voters' base.

Recent polls also indicate this transition in the narrative. Tejashwi Yadav is the leader in the latest India Today-CVoter survey with 36.9% PM preference, followed by Nitish Kumar with 18.4%. Chirag, while lagging behind with 10.6%, has also recorded the highest surge in popularity in only three months from 3.7% in February to well over 10% in May. 

The BJP’s backup plan? 

Chirag's political aspirations are not new. He has been using the slogan "Bihar First, Bihari First" for years and has a vision of an advanced and self-sufficient Bihar. Now, by deciding to contest from a general seat, he is giving a clear message a message that is anti-caste vote bank politics and shows him as a leader with pan-Bihar appeal.

In making this gesture, Chirag is also artfully constructing a wider identity not only as Dalit leader, but as youth icon who seeks to bring together voters across caste divides. It's a risk, but it might just pay off if Bihar's young voters start putting aspiration ahead of identity.

A battle of aspirations vs. identity politics

What's interesting about this forthcoming election is that it's no longer a fight of parties it's a fight of people. Nitish Kumar's legacy is on the line, but it's obvious that the actual showdown is between Chirag Paswan and Tejashwi Yadav. One boasts well-entrenched political heritage, the other has a new story of change. One survives on old vote banks, the other is counting on a crossover appeal.

As Bihar approaches 2025, the state isn't only electing its next chief minister it's electing between two visions of its future. The path ahead holds in-store intense political theatrics, surprising alliances, and a final verdict to a question that has been looming across an entire generation: who will be the next Bihar chief minister?