Libya Model On Iran? United States 15-Point Plan Raises Big Strategic Questions

New Delhi: Amidst the ongoing tension in the Middle East, America has put forward a tough diplomatic proposal to Iran with 15 conditions. Its purpose is said to be to stop the war, but these conditions have raised new questions. The biggest question is whether accepting these conditions will be a path to peace for Iran or if it will prove to be the beginning of its strategic weakness.

What are the 15 conditions of America?

According to the proposal, Iran will have to observe a one-month ceasefire and virtually eliminate its nuclear program. Along with completely stopping uranium enrichment, all nuclear material will have to be handed over to the international agency. This also includes destroying major nuclear centers like Natanz, Fordow and Isfahan. Additionally, the IAEA has been conditioned to allow full investigation in the country, accept limitations on the missile program and guarantee that it will not make nuclear weapons in the future.

Is there pressure to end proxy networks?

The biggest impact of these conditions seems to be on Iran's regional strategy. The proposal clearly states that Iran will have to end its relations with organizations like Hamas, Hezbollah and Houthi. Along with this, it has also been said to stop funding and arms supply in the area. This may directly weaken Iran's influence.

Will military power also be curbed?

Under the proposal, it has been said that Iran's military capability will be limited to self-defense only. Apart from this, the condition of keeping the Strait of Hormuz open for international ships is also included. This means that Iran's strategic position may also be directly affected.

What will Iran get in return?

If these conditions are accepted, Iran can get relief from economic sanctions. International cooperation will increase and there is a possibility of help in civil nuclear projects. This can strengthen Iran's economy, which has been under the pressure of sanctions for a long time.

Does Libya's example scare Iran?

The biggest concern about this proposal within Iran is that its situation might become like that of Libya. Libya gave up its nuclear program in 2003, but a few years later there was a change of regime and Muammar Gaddafi was assassinated. This example is often seen as a reason for distrust in Iran.

Will the threat remain even after the agreement?

It is also feared in Iran's strategic circles that if it reduces its strength, its security may weaken in the future. There is also a fear that action can be taken again at any time by alleging violation of the agreement.

What are the options before Iran now?

At present, two paths are visible in front of Iran. First, accepting the conditions and moving towards economic relief and tension reduction. Second, to continue the confrontation while maintaining its current strategy. This decision may prove to be decisive not just for Iran but for the entire Middle East.