After Prashant Kishor, Yogendra Yadav forecasts BJP's victory; Congress seat count to be...

Prashant Kishor, who has faced criticism on social media for his prediction favouring the Bharatiya Janata Party, supported Yogendra Yadav's seat projection.

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In a significant prediction ahead of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, psephologist-turned-politician Yogendra Yadav projected that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) would once again secure a general election triumph, quashing the Congress party's aspirations for a revival. According to Yadav, while the Congress may improve its seat tally to around 100, the BJP is expected to win between 240 and 260 seats, with its allies securing an additional 34 to 45 seats. This would bring the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) total to between 275 and 305 seats.

Prashant Kishor's Endorsement

Political strategist Prashant Kishor, who has faced criticism on social media for his favourable prediction for the BJP, endorsed Yadav's seat forecast. Kishor highlighted Yadav's credibility as a trusted figure in understanding elections and socio-political issues in India. He reiterated Yadav's assessment that the BJP and its allies would secure a comfortable majority, surpassing the 272-seat mark needed to form a government.

"A trusted face among those who understand elections and socio-political issues in the country, Yogendra Yadav, has shared his 'final assessment' of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections," Kishor wrote on X. "According to Yogendra ji, BJP may get 240-260 seats and NDA's allies may get 35-45 seats in these elections. Meaning 275-305 seats for BJP/NDA. To form the government in the country, 272 seats are required and BJP/NDA has 303/323 seats in the outgoing Lok Sabha. Now assess yourself whose government is being formed. On June 4, we will know who is talking about whom."

Congress and INDIA Bloc's Prospects

Yadav's analysis suggests that the Congress is likely to win between 85 and 100 seats, a significant increase from the 52 seats it secured in the 2019 general elections. However, the INDIA bloc, formed to counter the BJP, is projected to be limited to 120-135 seats. This coalition, which aims to halt the BJP's momentum, faces an uphill battle to significantly alter the electoral landscape.

Current Political Landscape

Kishor, in a recent interview, emphasised that the BJP is poised to comfortably cross the majority mark, citing a lack of substantial dissatisfaction against the ruling party and Prime Minister Narendra Modi. The BJP had won 303 Lok Sabha seats in the 2019 elections, buoyed by the 'Modi wave' in key Hindi heartland states. To achieve a target of 370 seats, the BJP would need to secure decisive victories in states like Tamil Nadu, Kerala, West Bengal, and Telangana.