Monsoon Warning: El Nino Threat Looms As India Faces Rainfall Deficit And June Heatwave

New Delhi: The initial expectations regarding monsoon this year now seem to be weakening. Meteorologists say that rainfall performance in June may be below normal. The biggest reason for this is the El Nino conditions forming in the Pacific Ocean. If this situation becomes stronger then rainfall may decrease in many parts of the country and the effect of heat may be more than expected. Such signals have increased the concern from farmers to common people.

Can the pace of rain remain slow in June?

Experts associated with the Meteorological Department believe that even if the monsoon starts on time, the amount of rainfall during June may not reach the normal level. Especially in some areas of North, Central and West India, there may be lack of rainfall. June is considered very important for sowing of Kharif season, hence less rain can directly affect farming.

Why is there much concern about El Nino?

El Nino is not a new meteorological phenomenon, but it has often had an impact on India's monsoon. When the temperature of the Pacific Ocean increases more than normal, its effect is visible on the weather of many countries of the world. In such years, India has often recorded less rainfall and higher temperatures. This is the reason why meteorologists are constantly monitoring the activities of El Nino.

Will there be no respite from the scorching heat in June?

Due to less rainfall and increasing temperature, there is a possibility of severe heat in many states in June. In recent days, temperatures above 45 degrees Celsius have been recorded in many areas including Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana and Delhi. Experts say that if the progress of monsoon remains slow then the effect of heat may increase further.

How big a challenge can this weather become for farmers?

The biggest impact of less rain can be on the agricultural sector. Sowing of Kharif crops depends to a great extent on the monsoon. If there is not enough rain in June and July, farmers may have to spend more on irrigation. Apart from this, there is a possibility of increase in inflation due to impact of food grain production.

Is it too early to worry about the entire monsoon season?

Meteorologists say that at present these are preliminary estimates and the entire four months of monsoon cannot be assessed on the basis of June only. The rainfall situation may also change in July and August. Nevertheless, less rainfall in June and signs of El Nino have increased the concern of the Meteorological Department. This is why the government, farmers and weather experts are all keeping an eye on the coming weeks.